Folks, lets be honest about something, these accusations against Herman Cain are witch hunts and, quite frankly, I am appalled that so many Republicans are falling for the MSM hit job. What troubles me is that, if Herman drops out of the race, the political class, the Establishment if you will, will have destroyed an honest man for the sake of partisan politics. The media and the politicians will have won. I will do my best not to let this happen. So, in the interest of fairness, let me state here that I am a Cain supporter. I don't plan on getting off of the Cain train and I am going to give my thoughts about what is going on politically and what will REALLY happen in this race.
As I said earlier, I am a Cain fan. If he had an affair, I honestly do not care. It is the height of hypocrisy for the media in this country to give Liberals a pass on these issues, while tearing down a good and decent man. Furthermore, it is the even more interesting that the media hasn't mentioned a word about Newt Gingrich and his past. I will discuss this more in a later blog. But, sticking with this theme, it galls me that so-called Conservatives who jumped off the Cain train are so easily swayed by the media. It is also interesting that they dump Herman because of alleged marital indiscretions, yet flock in droves to a man who is a noted womanizer (Gingrich).
I do not want to make this post a bash fest against Newt, however. He is a good candidate but, I fear, fatally flawed and NOT a Conservative. I am going to make some BOLD predictions in this article regarding my observations about this campaign and about the future of the primaries. I will then go into detail about WHY I believe the way I do.
First Prediction: Cain will NOT leave the race. Perhaps this is more wishful thinking than anything else, but I have a hard time thinking that Herman will quit because of these things. His volunteers are still motivated and strong, his fundraising numbers are coming back up and most of his supporters are still strong (only the feeble minded have dropped off). Furthermore, after sitting down with his family this weekend, I believe they will all rally together and tell Herman that he MUST stay in this race. After all, he is fighting for the future of his beloved family, but he must fight on so that Americans know that the political ruling class will NO LONGER speak for WE the PEOPLE.
Second Prediction: The White House, with initial Republican backing, are behind the smears of Cain. Cain's team will tie together lose ends and then sue the pants of the accusers.
OBSERVATION: Herman Cain is the ONLY candidate that the media and the White House fears. I know this is hard for some Republicans to understand, but anyone who knows politics will understand this. If Cain wasn't a threat, why would the allegations have come out? Why even bash a man who stood no chance in the elections? Methinks, the Obama people are scared. Which brings me to Another observation and then a FEARLESS prediction:
Observation: Cain is doing MUCH better than people want to believe he is doing. I know, I know, the polls say otherwise, but this doesn't jive with reality. First of all, these polls jumped to a HUGE lead for Newt almost immediately. Why? He is now doubling up Romney and in some cases, doing better than this. I find these results problematic...not because Cain is losing, but due to the sudden surge of Newt seemingly out of thin air. I do not, for one minute, believe that Newt has the support of 50% of Republicans nationwide and I do not for a minute believe the numbers in the states polled. I think Cain is still running first or second for one obvious reason: he just got smeared again. This begs the question, why would someone come out and attack Herman with these allegations if he was indeed plummeting in the polls? If they have done enough to destroy him, why keep it up...unless, in reality, he wasn't destroyed and still doing really well among voters.
This leads to my prediction: Cain will win IA and roll into SC and FLA with the big Momentum,. I know it seems far fetched and possibly a pipe dream, but I will give you the reasons that I think this will happen. Organization: Herman has it in loads in IA. Anyone knows that the Caucuses are about getting people there and having a ground game. Cain has a fleet of people ready to go. I am not sure Newt will have the same organization. Too wit, Newts past indiscretions and his immigration stance will hurt him among IA voters. Also, Cain's ads are hard hitting and geared directly toward toward the voters of IA...these should help. We just found out that Newt failed to get substantial delegates in NH and failed to get on the ballot in MO...this doesn't bode well for the upcoming elections. More to the point: Cain is liked by people. Once he focuses his message back on the economy, he will rise. I know the political punditry say that "Cain is done". Well, nobody had given Cain a chance before the FLA straw poll...and Cain won big. This, along with his support on the ground, is a key reason that I think he will prevail (and leave it to Newt to implode). Cain might have lost some support, yes, but can he still, definitely. Remember. Herman wasn't expected to win FLA and did. Nobody gave him a chance then, and they aren't giving him a chance now. I can't wait to see Cain rise like a Phoenix and win IA.
There are plenty more observations to come, but these are my initial thoughts. You may disagree, and I am sure many of you will. Just mark my words...do not underestimate the Cain train. You do so at your peril.
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